Trading AUD/USD






The popularity of the AUD/USD currency pair, otherwise known as the ‘Aussie’, has surged in recent years. As a result of Australia’s commodity boom in recent decades, the pair now unites two expanding and influential economies. This page will break down everything you need to know about the AUD/USD pair, from its benefits and drawbacks to currency correlations, history and strategy, including trading hours, signals, charts and top tips.
AUD/USD Trading Brokers
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1NinjaTrader
Ratings
$00.01 Lots1:50NFA, CFTCForex, Stocks, Options, Commodities, Futures, CryptoNinjaTrader Desktop, Web & Mobile, eSignalACH Transfer, Debit Card, Wire Transfer, ChequeUSD -
2Interactive Brokers
Ratings
$0$1001:50FCA, SEC, FINRA, CFTC, CBI, CIRO, SFC, MAS, MNB, FINMA, AFMStocks, Options, Futures, Forex, Funds, Bonds, ETFs, Mutual Funds, CFDs, CryptocurrenciesTrader Workstation (TWS), IBKR Desktop, GlobalTrader, Mobile, Client Portal, AlgoTrader, OmniTrader, TradingView, eSignal, TradingCentral, ProRealTime, QuantowerCheque, ACH Transfer, Wire Transfer, Automated Customer Account Transfer Service, TransferWise, Debit CardUSD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, INR, JPY, SEK, NOK, DKK, CHF, AED, HUF -
3Plus500 USWelcome Deposit Bonus up to $200Trading with leverage involves risk.
Ratings
$1000.0 LotsCFTC, NFAFutures on Forex, Commodities, Cryptos, Indices, Interest RatesWebTrader, AppACH Transfer, Wire Transfer, Debit Card, Mastercard, VisaUSD -
4FOREX.comActive Trader Program With A 15% Reduction In Costs
Ratings
$1000.01 Lots1:50NFA, CFTCForex, Stocks, Futures, Futures OptionsMT4, MT5, TradingView, eSignal, AutoChartist, TradingCentralWire Transfer, Credit Card, Debit Card, Visa, Mastercard, Skrill, Neteller, ACH TransferUSD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, JPY, CHF, PLN -
5OANDA USCFDs are not available to residents in the United States.
Ratings
$00.01 Lots1:50NFA, CFTCForex, Crypto with Paxos (Cryptocurrencies are offered through Paxos. Paxos is a separate legal entity from OANDA)OANDA Trade, MT4, TradingView, AutoChartistWire Transfer, Visa, Mastercard, Debit Card, ACH TransferUSD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, JPY, CHF, HKD, SGD -
6Videforex20% to 200% Deposit Bonus
Ratings
$250$0.011:500Binary Options, CFDs, Forex, Indices, Commodities, CryptoTradingViewSkrill, Perfect Money, Bitcoin Payments, Neteller, Credit Card, Visa, Mastercard, Ethereum PaymentsUSD, EUR, GBP, AUD, RUB -
7Dukascopy10% Equity Bonus
Ratings
$1000.01 Lots1:200FINMA, JFSA, FCMCCFDs, Forex, Stocks, Indices, Commodities, Crypto, Bonds, Binary OptionsJForex, MT4, MT5Neteller, Wire Transfer, Mastercard, Skrill, Visa, Maestro, Credit Card, Debit Card, Apple Pay, Bitcoin Payments, Ethereum PaymentsUSD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY, ZAR, TRY, SEK, NOK, DKK, CHF, HKD, SGD, PLN, CZK, AED, SAR, HUF, MXN -
8UnitedPips40% Deposit Bonus
Ratings
$100.01 Lots1:1000IFSACFDs, Forex, Precious Metals, CryptoUniTraderPayPal, Credit Card, Debit Card, Perfect Money, Bitcoin Payments, Ethereum PaymentsUSD -
9InstaTrade
Ratings
$10.011:1000BVI FSCFISP, CFDs, Forex, Stocks, Indices, Commodities, Cryptos, FuturesInstaTrade Gear, MT4Visa, Mastercard, Wire Transfer, Credit Card, Debit Card, Bitcoin Payments, Ethereum PaymentsUSD, EUR, RUB -
10Capitalcore40% Deposit Bonus up to $2,500
Ratings
$100.01 Lots1:2000IFSAForex, Metals, Stocks, Cryptos, Futures Indices, Binary OptionsWebTrader, ProEthereum Payments, Mastercard, Visa, Perfect Money, Bitcoin Payments, Debit Card, Credit Card, PayPalUSD
Here is a short summary of why we think each broker belongs in this top list:
- NinjaTrader - NinjaTraders supports the trading of popular currencies including the EUR/USD. The software also offers advanced features to streamline the trading experience, including complex order types like market if touched (MIT) and one cancels other (OCO).
- Interactive Brokers - IBKR presents an extensive range of over 100 major, minor, and exotic forex pairs, surpassing the offerings of nearly all leading alternatives, though not CMC Markets. Forex trading occurs over multiple platforms and boasts institutional-grade spreads starting from 0.1 pips and 20 complex order types, including brackets, scale, and one-cancels-all (OCA) orders.
- Plus500 US - Plus500 US offers futures trading on a small selection of 13 currencies, including popular pairs like the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Day trading margins are competitive, starting from $40, while the educational resources do an excellent job of breaking down the basics of forex futures for new traders.
- FOREX.com - FOREX.com continues to uphold its stature as a premier FX broker, offering over 80 currency pairs and boasting some of the most competitive fees in the industry. With EUR/USD spreads dipping as low as 0.0 and $5 commission per $100k, it stands out. Moreover, its SMART Signals help to identify price behaviors across numerous major currency markets.
- OANDA US - OANDA offers a diverse selection of 68 currency pairs, more than many alternatives. The broker’s in-house platform offers superb day trading capabilities via powerful TradingView charts, including 65+ technical indicators and 11 customizable chart types.
- Videforex - Videforex offers trading on 35 currency pairs through leveraged CFDs with spreads from 0.1 pips. Alternatively, traders can use binaries to speculate on upward/downward price movements with payouts up to 98%. Integrated technical analysis, economic calendars, and market news, all available within the platform, help support FX trading decisions.
- Dukascopy - With 60+ currency pairs available, Dukascopy offers ample majors, minors and exotics, complete with its tight spreads from 0.1 pips, access to MT4, plus the broker’s own JForex softwarem which shined during testing for its clean workspace and customization capabilities.
- UnitedPips - UnitedPips supports trading on over 40 major, minor and exotic currency pairs. To help inform trading decisions, it offers daily market analysis with fundamental and technical insights into prominent currency pairs like AUD/USD and EUR/USD.
- InstaTrade - InstaTrade offers a huge selection of around 100 currency pairs. It provides spreads starting at 0.0 on majors, plus integrated forex analysis in the web platform, featuring signals, plus technical and fundamental summaries. Additionally, InstaTrade offers educational modules covering forex basics for beginners, including margin trading and risk management.
- Capitalcore - Capitalcore offers a modest selection of around 35 currency pairs, which is very limited compared to CMC Markets' 300+ pairs. Spreads are lowest on the VIP account (0.4 pips on EUR/USD), but become less competitive in Classic and Silver accounts (1.5 pips on EUR/USD), and there aren't any zero spreads.
Trading AUD/USD Comparison
NinjaTrader
"NinjaTrader continues to meet the demands of active futures traders looking for low fees and premium analysis tools. The platform hosts top-rate charting features including hundreds of indicators and 10+ chart types."
Tobias Robinson, Reviewer
NinjaTrader Quick Facts
GBPUSD Spread | 1.6 |
---|---|
EURUSD Spread | 1.3 |
EURGBP Spread | 1.6 |
Total Assets | 50+ |
Leverage | 1:50 |
Platforms | NinjaTrader Desktop, Web & Mobile, eSignal |
Account Currencies | USD |
Pros
- Traders can get free platform access and trade simulation capabilities in the unlimited demo
- You can get thousands of add-ons and applications from developers in 150+ countries
- NinjaTrader is a widely respected and award-winning futures broker and is heavily authorized by the NFA and CFTC
Cons
- The premium platform tools come with an extra charge
- Non forex and futures trading requires signing up with partner brokers
- There is a withdrawal fee on some funding methods
Interactive Brokers
"Interactive Brokers is one of the best brokers for advanced day traders, providing powerful charting platforms, real-time data, and customizable layouts, notably through the new IBKR Desktop application. Its superb pricing and advanced order options also make it highly attractive for day traders, while its diverse range of equities is still among the best in the industry."
Christian Harris, Reviewer
Interactive Brokers Quick Facts
GBPUSD Spread | 0.08-0.20 bps x trade value |
---|---|
EURUSD Spread | 0.08-0.20 bps x trade value |
EURGBP Spread | 0.08-0.20 bps x trade value |
Total Assets | 100+ |
Leverage | 1:50 |
Platforms | Trader Workstation (TWS), IBKR Desktop, GlobalTrader, Mobile, Client Portal, AlgoTrader, OmniTrader, TradingView, eSignal, TradingCentral, ProRealTime, Quantower |
Account Currencies | USD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, INR, JPY, SEK, NOK, DKK, CHF, AED, HUF |
Pros
- The TWS platform has clearly been built for intermediate and advanced traders and comes with over 100 order types and a reliable real-time market data feed that rarely goes offline.
- IBKR continues to deliver unmatched access to global stocks with tens of thousands of equities available from 100+ market centres in 24 countries, most recently the Saudi Stock Exchange.
- There's a vast library of free or paid third-party research subscriptions catering to all types of traders, plus you can enjoy commission reimbursements from IBKR if you subscribe to Toggle AI.
Cons
- TWS’s learning curve is steep, and beginners may find it challenging to navigate the platform and understand all the features. Plus500's web platform is much better suited to new traders.
- You can only have one active session per account, so you can’t have your desktop program and mobile app running simultaneously, making for a sometimes frustrating trading experience.
- IBKR provides a wide range of research tools, but their distribution across trading platforms and the web-based 'Account Management' page lacks consistency, leading to a confusing user experience.
Plus500 US
"Plus500 US stands out as an excellent choice for beginners, offering a very user-friendly platform, low day trading margins, and access to the Futures Academy to enhance trading skills."
Michael MacKenzie, Reviewer
Plus500 US Quick Facts
Bonus Offer | Welcome Deposit Bonus up to $200 |
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EURUSD Spread | 0.75 |
Total Assets | 13 |
Platforms | WebTrader, App |
Account Currencies | USD |
Pros
- Plus500 is a publicly traded company with a good reputation, over 24 million traders, and a sponsor of the Chicago Bulls, instilling a sense of trust
- The straightforward account structure, pricing model and web platform offer an easier route into futures trading than rivals like NinjaTrader
- The trading app provides a terrific user experience with a modern design, a clean layout and mobile-optimized charts
Cons
- Despite competitive pricing, Plus500 US lacks a discount program for high-volume day traders, a scheme found at brokers like Interactive Brokers
- While Plus500 US continues to broaden its investment offering, it's currently restricted to around 50+ futures with no stocks
- Although support response times were fast during tests, there is no telephone assistance
FOREX.com
"FOREX.com remains a best-in-class brokerage for active forex traders of all experience levels, with over 80 currency pairs, tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions. The powerful charting platforms collectively offer over 100 technical indicators, as well as extensive research tools."
Christian Harris, Reviewer
FOREX.com Quick Facts
Bonus Offer | Active Trader Program With A 15% Reduction In Costs |
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GBPUSD Spread | 1.3 |
EURUSD Spread | 1.2 |
EURGBP Spread | 1.4 |
Total Assets | 80+ |
Leverage | 1:50 |
Platforms | MT4, MT5, TradingView, eSignal, AutoChartist, TradingCentral |
Account Currencies | USD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, JPY, CHF, PLN |
Pros
- FOREX.com offers industry-leading forex pricing starting from 0.0 pips, alongside competitive cashback rebates of up to 15% for serious day traders.
- There’s a wealth of educational resources including tutorials, webinars, and a stacked YouTube channel to help you get educated in the financial markets.
- With over 20 years of experience, excellent regulatory oversight, and multiple accolades including runner-up in our 'Best Forex Broker' awards, FOREX.com boasts a global reputation as a trusted brokerage.
Cons
- There’s no negative balance protection for US clients, so you may find yourself owing more money than your initial deposit into your account.
- FOREX.com's MT4 platform offers approximately 600 instruments, significantly fewer than the over 5,500 available on its non-MetaTrader platforms.
- Despite increasing its range of instruments, FOREX.com's product portfolio is still limited to forex and CFDs, so there are no options to invest in real stocks, real ETFs or real cryptocurrencies.
OANDA US
"OANDA remains an excellent broker for US day traders seeking a user-friendly platform with premium analysis tools and a straightforward joining process. OANDA is also heavily regulated with a very high trust score."
Jemma Grist, Reviewer
OANDA US Quick Facts
GBPUSD Spread | 3.4 |
---|---|
EURUSD Spread | 1.6 |
EURGBP Spread | 1.7 |
Total Assets | 65+ |
Leverage | 1:50 |
Platforms | OANDA Trade, MT4, TradingView, AutoChartist |
Account Currencies | USD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, JPY, CHF, HKD, SGD |
Pros
- The broker's API facilitates access to 25 years of deep historical data and rates from 200+ currencies
- There's a strong selection of 68 currency pairs for dedicated short-term forex traders
- Beginners can get started easily with $0 minimum initial deposit
Cons
- The range of day trading markets is limited to forex and cryptos only
- There's only a small range of payment methods available, with no e-wallets supported
- It's a shame that customer support is not available on weekends
Videforex
"Videforex will serve traders looking for a no-frills, easy-to-use platform to speculate on the direction of popular financial markets through binaries. With a sign-up process that takes a matter of minutes and a web-accessible platform, getting started is a breeze. "
William Berg, Reviewer
Videforex Quick Facts
Bonus Offer | 20% to 200% Deposit Bonus |
---|---|
GBPUSD Spread | 0.1 |
EURUSD Spread | 0.1 |
EURGBP Spread | 0.1 |
Total Assets | 35+ |
Leverage | 1:500 |
Platforms | TradingView |
Account Currencies | USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, RUB |
Pros
- Videforex is one of the few brokers with 24/7 multilingual video support, providing comprehensive assistance for active traders.
- Videforex regularly runs trading contests, offering practice opportunities and cash prizes to beginners and experienced traders, with position sizes from just ¢0.01.
- Traders can earn up to 98% payouts on 100+ assets with the broker’s binary options, bringing it in line with competitors like IQCent.
Cons
- Videforex lacks authorization from a trusted regulator, meaning traders may receive little to zero safeguards like segregated client accounts.
- The absence of any educational tools is a serious drawback for newer traders who can find blogs, videos and live trading sessions at category leaders.
- The client terminal needs improvements based on our latest tests, sporting sometimes slow and unresponsive widgets which could dampen the experience for day traders.
Dukascopy
"If you’re an experienced trader, Dukascopy provides the tools you need: JForex for algorithmic strategies, competitive spreads from 0.1 pips, leverage up to 1:200, and the peace of mind of using a Swiss-regulated bank and broker."
Christian Harris, Reviewer
Dukascopy Quick Facts
Bonus Offer | 10% Equity Bonus |
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GBPUSD Spread | 0.1 |
EURUSD Spread | 0.1 |
EURGBP Spread | 0.4 |
Total Assets | 60+ |
Leverage | 1:200 |
Platforms | JForex, MT4, MT5 |
Account Currencies | USD, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY, ZAR, TRY, SEK, NOK, DKK, CHF, HKD, SGD, PLN, CZK, AED, SAR, HUF, MXN |
Pros
- Dukascopy offers tight spreads starting from 0.1 pips, leverage up to 1:200 (depending on the jurisdiction), and volume-based commissions that reward high-frequency traders.
- The proprietary JForex platform is highly advanced, offering tools for algorithmic trading, extensive charting, and access to deep liquidity for short-term traders.
- Dukascopy features some of the best research we’ve seen, even a professional TV studio in Geneva covering financial news, market analysis, and daily insights from professionals.
Cons
- Some account types, such as the MT4/MT5 accounts, require a higher minimum deposit of $1,000, which may not be ideal for traders with smaller budgets.
- Dukascopy's withdrawal fees are higher than most competitors we’ve tested, particularly for bank wire transfers, which may deter traders who require frequent access to their funds.
- While JForex is feature-rich, it has a steep learning curve, making it less suitable for beginner traders who might prefer simpler platforms.
UnitedPips
"UnitedPips is ideal for traders seeking leveraged trading opportunities, the security of fixed spreads, and the flexibility to deposit, withdraw, and trade cryptocurrencies - all in one sleek TradingView-powered platform."
Christian Harris, Reviewer
UnitedPips Quick Facts
Bonus Offer | 40% Deposit Bonus |
---|---|
GBPUSD Spread | 1.3 |
EURUSD Spread | 0.7 |
EURGBP Spread | 1.1 |
Total Assets | 40+ |
Leverage | 1:1000 |
Platforms | UniTrader |
Account Currencies | USD |
Pros
- UnitedPips’ platform performs well, with an intuitive design that will appeal to beginners, while the TradingView integration delivers powerful charting tools without overwhelming users, making it straightforward to execute trades efficiently.
- Although being handed off mid-chat due to shift changes during testing was frustrating, customer support is generally good with quick, helpful responses, and 24/7 support via phone and email for regional teams is a definite advantage.
- UnitedPips offers impressive leverage up to 1:1000 with zero swap fees or commissions, which can enhance potential returns for day traders and swing traders looking to control prominent positions with less capital.
Cons
- UnitedPips' selection of tradable instruments is still minimal, comprising a bare minimum selection of forex, metals and crypto. There are no equities, indices or ETFs, which may be a drawback for experienced traders looking for diverse opportunities.
- Unlike brokers such as IG, UnitedPips is an offshore broker not regulated by any 'green tier' financial authorities, raising concerns for traders seeking assurance and protection under well-established regulatory frameworks.
- UnitedPips lacks comprehensive research, while the educational content for beginner traders is woeful. Compared to brokers like eToro, which offers tutorials, webinars, and advanced courses, UnitedPips offers minimal resources to help new traders understand key concepts.
InstaTrade
"Although InstaTrade offers active trading on a comprehensive platform, it stands out with its fairly unique Fixed Income Structured Product (FISP), providing passive investment opportunities with up to 50% returns in 6 months if conditions are met. "
Christian Harris, Reviewer
InstaTrade Quick Facts
GBPUSD Spread | 0.2 |
---|---|
EURUSD Spread | 0.0 |
EURGBP Spread | 2.8 |
Total Assets | 65 |
Leverage | 1:1000 |
Platforms | InstaTrade Gear, MT4 |
Account Currencies | USD, EUR, RUB |
Pros
- Despite an average investment offering of around 300 assets, InstaTrade offers a particularly strong suite of currency pairs, catering to advanced traders seeking opportunities in volatile exotics.
- InstaTrade delivers an excellent suite of charting tools for day traders with its web trader comprising 250+ indicators, 11 chart types and a user-friendly design.
- InstaTrade claims to "guarantee" returns through the structured element of its passive trading solution (FISP), with applications approved within 24 hours.
Cons
- InstaTrade is registered in the offshore jurisdiction of the British Virgin Islands, resulting in limited regulatory safeguards for retail investors.
- InstaTrade sports one of the most cluttered websites and client cabinets in the industry, potentially overwhelming new traders, especially compared to XTB’s intuitive trading journey and resources.
- Marketing of the FISP, especially phrasing around the “guarantee of profitability” and the “elimination of risks of trading on financial markets” raises concerns.
Capitalcore
"The major selling points of Capitalcore are its high leverage options up to 1:2000 and zero commission or swap fees. However, its weak regulatory oversight from the IFSA and non-existent education place it far behind the top brokers."
Christian Harris, Reviewer
Capitalcore Quick Facts
Bonus Offer | 40% Deposit Bonus up to $2,500 |
---|---|
GBPUSD Spread | 0.5 |
EURUSD Spread | 0.4 |
EURGBP Spread | 0.5 |
Total Assets | 35+ |
Leverage | 1:2000 |
Platforms | WebTrader, Pro |
Account Currencies | USD |
Pros
- The Capitalcore platform provides comprehensive charting tools and a wide range of 150+ technical indicators, ideal for detailed market analysis.
- Unlike most brokers, Capitalcore offers an unlimited demo account that takes under 5 minutes to open.
- Capitalcore is one of the only brokers to charge zero swap fees, which may appeal to Islamic traders looking to comply with Islamic Finance.
Cons
- The web platform was inconsistent during testing, with occasional technical glitches that meant the trading platform wouldn’t load.
- Platform support is limited to proprietary software, so there's no integration with the market-leading MetaTrader or cTrader, which offer built-in economic news and support automated trading.
- Capitalcore’s threadbare education and research seriously trail category leaders like IG, making it less suitable for aspiring traders.
Chart
Breaking Down ‘AUD/USD’
Before we get into the details, what precisely does AUD/USD mean? Quite simply, the exchange rate tells you how many US dollars (the quote currency) are required to purchase one Australian dollar (the base currency).
The AUD/USD pair is now the fourth most actively traded currency pair. In recent years, the AUD/USD has seen months where it represents around 7% of total forex market turnover. However, it is not one of the six that form the US dollar index (USDX).
Why Day Trade AUD/USD?
Before we consider AUD/USD day trading strategies and fundamental analysis, why should you opt for this particular currency pair when there are so many options currently available?
- Volatility – As a result of the high-interest rate differential between Australia and the US, day traders can benefit from high levels of both volume and volatility. This could mean greater opportunities to turn profits. In bull markets, the AUD/USD pair run upwards much quicker than other pairs, whilst in bearish market environments, it can drop much sooner.
- Major currency performance – In recent years the Australian dollar has become the highest performing major currency. It has seen an increase of in excess of 30% over the US dollar.
- Economic stability – Data has shown the Australian economy has surged through exports and commodities, whilst retaining a solid foundation with a central bank. The Australian economy has even managed to grow year on year, whilst other economies have suffered at the hands of a global economic downturn.
- Trading relations & GDP – The trading relationship with China allowed the Australian economy to avoid the global financial crisis. Plus, Australian GDP is on the rise. All of this makes investing in these powerhouse economies an attractive proposition.
- Diverse market – Due to the AUD/USD’s increasing popularity, individuals can benefit from a number of different trading vehicles, from ETFs to E-micro futures, options, and more.
- Research and resources – Daily and weekly analyses are far easier today thanks to the range of resources available. Websites and forums offer market overviews and analysis. Sophisticated live streaming charts and graphs are now highly customisable. You can get bespoke indicators, as well as 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, and 1-hour charts.
Drawbacks & Risks
Despite AUD/USD statistics demonstrating promising growth and attractive trends, there remain several drawbacks and risks to trading with this currency pair.
- Stability misconception – Traders often take for granted the power and stability of the US economy over other economies, such as Australia. However, because this is a cross pair, you need to ensure you analyse both economies against each other. Not keeping up-to-date with political and economic sentiments in both could lead to costly mistakes.
- Volatility – Part of the allure of the AUD/USD currency pair is the promise of volatility. However, these sharp moves can also lead to significant losses. So, if you do invest substantial capital into this pair, one of the top trading tips is to employ an effective money management system.
- Leverage – Trading on margin allows you to borrow funds to maximise your position. But whilst this may bolster potential profits, it could also amplify losses.
- Automated competition – You may have attractive bid-ask offer spreads and all the bar charts and graphs in real-time in front of you. However, you are now competing with more sophisticated trading algorithms than ever before. This means asserting an edge when you’re live chart investing is increasingly difficult.
Influences on Movement
By reviewing AUD/USD relationship through long-term data, it is clear there are several main factors that influence prices. These include:
Commodities & Trading
- Commodity prices – The Australian economy, to a certain extent is shaped by its significant role in commodities. They are the largest coal and iron ore exporter. So, when commodity prices rise, the Australian dollar often strengthens. When there is a fall in the price of commodities, the Australian dollar weakens. This was demonstrated in 2015 when commodity prices slumped and the Australian dollar fell by over 15% against the US dollar. In fact, it almost reached parity against the New Zealand dollar (NZD), which has not happened since the 1970s.
- Trading relations – This is particularly important for the Australian dollar. The Australian economy is closely linked to trading relationships in Asia. So, changes in commodity demand from China, India, and to some extent Japan, can all cause the strength of the Australian dollar to increase or subside.
Other Influences
- Interest rate differential – Interest rate decisions laid out by both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) can impact AUD/USD rates and prices. For example, the Australian economy is currently performing well, so the Australian dollar looks set to continue increasing in value.
- Economic indicators and data – Price action often centres around the release of key economic data and indicators. So, news announcements and reports on GDP, retail sales, inflation, trade balances, and industrial production, can all trigger movement in the AUD/USD currency pair.
- Inflationary pressures – Normally, high commodity prices create recessionary pressures on developed nations. This can lead to concern over the sustainability of economies in North America and Europe, for example. When this happens, the Australian economy emerges as a beacon of hope, which again can strengthen its currency’s value.
- Political announcements & natural disasters – Major political elections, new policies, wars, terrorist incidents, plus natural disasters, can all lead to serious fluctuations within the AUD/USD.
So, whilst day trading the AUD/USD pair calls for technical analysis via daily, weekly, and monthly price charts, it also demands an understanding of the underlying economic forces at play.
Currency Correlations
Part of your AUD/USD trading view also needs to take into account relevant currency correlations. The success and failures of certain pairs will influence others.
Correlation is a measure ranging from -1 to +1, which determines whether the pair is positively or negatively correlated. Correlations can also change over time.
- Positive correlation – This is simply when pairs move in tandem with each other. The AUD/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/USD FX pairs are positively correlated. This is a result of the US dollar being the counter currency. So, all pairs will reflect changes in the US dollar.
- Negative correlation – This is when forex pairs move in the opposite direction. For example, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, and USD/CAD pairs. This is because the US dollar is the base currency.
Note the correlation with the USD/CAD pair may also be partly attributed to the positive correlation between the Australian and Canadian economies, as both are heavily involved in commodity exports.
Gold Correlation
Another important area is AUD/USD correlation with gold. Gold has a positive correlation with AUD/USD. So, when gold is going up, AUD/USD goes down. When gold goes down, AUD/USD goes down.
What does this mean for you? It means you can look at the movement in gold markets to make AUD/USD forecasts for tomorrow. So, get up currency correlations in a yearly chart and your future outlook could be seriously enhanced. Even looking at movement last week or in recent market hours may suggest price action is imminent.
AUD/USD Day Trading Strategy
Regardless of whether you opt for a breakout or scalping strategy, there are a number of factors to consider below that could enhance your intraday trading performance.
Timing
Regardless of what strategy you use for live, online AUD/USD day trading, knowing the best time to trade could make all the difference to your end of day profits. Whilst 24/7 forex trading is available, certain time periods will offer the greater levels of volatility and volume needed to generate substantial profits.
You will find the biggest daily moves and greatest volume during Australian working hours (overlapping with the Asian trading session), plus during the most active US trading hours. Economic reports, such as non-farm payrolls, durable goods orders, and consumer inflation data, can also all trigger significant spikes and shifts.
So, for the greatest volatility, focus your attention on day trading between 00:00 and 02:00 GMT, plus 06:00 to 08:00 GMT. Then for the most volume and trade activity, head back online between 12:00 and 17:00 GMT.
News
There are a number of different approaches you can take day trading on the AUD/USD currency pair. Some will utilise historical price charts and basic daily charts, whilst others will make their expectations based on news updates.
Market sentiment and price action can quickly shift with breaking news. If you can anticipate where the trend will head, you can capitalise on these news updates.
To do that, you need to have reliable news resources you can turn to. Some of the most highly regarded include XE, CNBC, Reuters, Bloomberg, Forex Factory, Yahoo Finance and Google Finance. These can prove invaluable. On top of standard AUD/USD commentary and the latest technical analysis, they can also offer the following:
- Exchange rate history
- Predictions and forecasts for today
- Daily and monthly moving averages
- AUD/USD specific trading definitions
- Long-term charts, averages and outlooks
- Daily, weekly, and monthly data and forecasts
- 1-year, 5-years, 10-years, 20-years, and 50-years charts
- Short-term AUD against USD trend predictions and forecasts
Many of the above sources will also have obscure trends and unusual daily moves explained by experienced FX traders. So, used correctly, the news today is a powerful weapon to add to your day trading arsenal.
Example
Breakout strategies are often thought to be effective techniques for capitalising on fluctuations when the AUD/USD currency pair is considered so volatile. After monitoring support and resistance, positions should be entered in anticipation of a break. If the price continues in this direction, you can hopefully profit.
Reversal at Support/Resistance
Look no further for a straightforward AUD/USD day trading strategy. Support or resistance could be a horizontal or diagonal line, but it is the point that price has reversed off at least twice before. This should include the starting point of your support/resistance line.
It’s worth noting support and resistance are usually areas, instead of specific prices. So, your trade setup can actually take place slightly above or below.
The support and resistance then tell you to be ready because a reversal or breakout could be fast approaching. You would then need to wait for consolidation near your support/resistance. If the price breaks above a consolidation near support or breaks below a consolidation near resistance, then you have your trade signal.
When the reverse signal does then occur, take your trade when the price moves just above the consolidation near your support, or just below consolidation near your resistance. If your AUD/USD pattern does indeed appear, you are anticipating the price will ricochet off support or fall off resistance.
However, if the price fails to do that and instead breaks above the major resistance area, or breaks below the major support area, then you should exit the trade as soon as possible.
Risk Management
AUD/USD discussions often focus on buy and sell rates, hourly forecasts, opening and closing positions, daily ranges, but not on how to mitigate risk. It doesn’t matter if it’s the lowest or highest-ever historical prices today, without an effective money management system you may not still be in the game next week.
So, what precisely is an AUD/USD risk system? Its meaning is simple. It is a way of protecting against losses by pre-determining position size. Most traders recommend risking no more than 1-2% of your account balance on a single trade.
For example, if you have $10,000 in your account, you wouldn’t bet more than $100 to $200 on a single trade. That way even if you lose, you still live to fight another day. This basic technique could prevent you from sinking into the red.
As famous trader Paul Tudor Jones asserted, ‘risk control is the most important thing in trading.’
So, forget closing prices, buy/sell spreads and picturesque candlestick charts, sit down and determine your risk parameters first. Moving forwards and capitalising on the next rally with promising pip movement will be far easier if you still have capital left in your account.
Last Word on Strategy
Whatever your trading plan involves, from daily pivot points to scalping, employ your strategy at the most effective time. Plus, take into account the latest news updates and breaking announcements that may help you predict future price movement.
History
Early History
There was a time when the Australian dollar was connected to the British pound. The Australian dollar was at the mercy of the pound, rising and falling in tandem. Yet 1946 brought about a change. The Australian dollar was pegged to the US dollar for a short period before it returned to the British pound.
By the time 1966 rolled around, the Australian dollar was launched as a decimal currency, followed by the deregulation of Australia’s financial system. The result of this was significant price movement in global forex rates as the open-market system was now in the crosshairs of the country’s reserve bank.
It wasn’t until 1983 that the AUD/USD pair begin to display its strength. Copper, iron, and gold exports were partly behind this illustration of might. These represent approximately one billion Australian dollars and around half of the nation’s total exports.
As trading relations with China and other exporting became stable, the country and currency enjoyed consistent growth.
Recent History
Many traders do not realise how much your AUD/USD and forex outlook of today is shaped by past events. Understanding the context of this currency pair’s relationship may allow you to make more accurate exchange rate forecasts and predictions.
The Australian economy and the popularity of trading Australian dollar currency pairs has increased in recent years. In 2012, the AUD/USD pair was the third most popular currency pair in the world, jumping two places in just two years. A stable trading relationship with China, high-interest rates, plus commodity-exporting is partly to thank.
In fact, the Australian economy has grown year on year since 2001, facing just one obstacle during the 2008 global financial crisis.
For the most part, minimal intervention from the RBA in the last ten years has attracted huge numbers of FX traders to the AUD/USD currency pair. However, surprisingly strong reversing trends when central banks make unexpected announcements can lead to traders suffering substantial financial losses.
Role of Australian Dollar
An important element of AUD/USD trading economics is recognising the role of the Australian dollar. Currency forecasts will reflect Australia’s economic influence.
Today Australia boasts the 13th largest economy in the world. In 2013 it had a GDP of an impressive $1.56 trillion. Services form 68.6% of GDP. Their most influential services include finance, media, education, and logistics.
However, as touched upon elsewhere on this page, the Australian dollar is a commodity-based currency. For example, you will see a high correlation with the prices of exported commodities, from coal and iron to copper and gold. The strength of the Australian dollar vs the US dollar is tied to the success of their exported goods.
So, the Australian dollar plays a huge role in international trade. As such, to make accurate predictions on your live forex chart, you should consider the following key indicators:
- GDP
- Trade Balance
- Employment Change
- Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Producer Price Index (PPI)
In addition, to find reports on their grain commodities, see Australia’s Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES). Online you will find free data on crop planting, weather, harvests, mine output, plus other grain commodity statistics.
The Australian dollar also now plays an important role in the forex space. Because of the economy’s consistent strength, the Aussie is now the fifth most traded currency, playing a part in 8.6% of all FX trading.
So, the Australian dollar plays a vital role in international commodities trading, as well as forex trading. Plus, the Australian economy is one of a select few large economies still with a AAA Debt rating. This further highlights its political and economic stability. All of these factors will continue to attract aspiring AUD/USD traders.
Role of US Dollar
You cannot make accurate daily forecasts, let alone 3-month or 12-month AUD/USD forecasts without understanding the crucial role the US dollar plays. Their GDP represents around 25% of the global nominal GDP.
After China, the US is the second-largest trading nation in the world. They are also the second-largest manufacturer. In 2013, their industrial production was $2.43 trillion and greater than the output of Germany, France, India, and Brazil combined.
Below are just a few of the vital roles the US dollar plays:
- Many global banks hold currency reserves in the US dollar.
- 87% of forex trades have involved the US dollar in recent years.
- The US dollar is one of the most popular currencies used for international transactions.
- Countries such as Algeria, Iran and the United Arab Emirates carry out oil transactions in the US dollar.
- Some countries peg their own currency to the value of the US dollar, whilst others adopt the US dollar entirely.
When you consider the staggering size of the US economy and its numerous strengths, it’s straightforward to see how economic data on the US can impact the forex marketplace, and in turn, the AUD/USD currency.
Some of the top economic indicators that influence live FX exchange rates include Trade Balance, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence.
Your AUD/USD technical analysis should consider many of these data releases in the economic calendar. In addition, the Federal Open Market Committee meetings are held periodically each year, with press conferences, expectations and forecasts released every few weeks. Each announcement could potentially trigger shifts in the AUD/USD currency pair.
Final Word on AUD/USD Trading
The AUD/USD promises day traders all the attributes needed to generate substantial profits, including rich liquidity and volatility. However, this hunting ground comes with tough competition, so asserting an edge will require a number of elements.
Because it’s one of the seven major pairs that contain the US dollar, staying aware of both monetary policy and interest rates set by the Fed and RBA is crucial. Careful technical analysis, including real-time charts and the news, will all be needed to capitalise on those bullish or bearish patterns. Just as important though, is finding the best forex trading platform for your individual needs.
FAQs
What Is AUD/USD?
AUD/USD is the fourth most actively traded currency pair in the world. The exchange rate determines how many US dollars are needed to purchase one Australian dollar. AUD/USD is also a ‘major’ pair which means it includes the US dollar, is traded in high volumes and is highly liquid.
Why Should I Start Trading AUD/USD?
Since the Australian dollar is one of the highest performing major currencies, the AUD/USD pair enjoys high liquidity and volatility. The pair is also positively correlated with several other currency pairs, as well as commodities such as gold.
What Is The Best Trading Strategy For AUD/USD?
The best trading strategy for AUD/USD ultimately depends on each individual trader. With that said, it’s always important to consider the optimum times to trade AUD/USD, as well as the best new resources for fundamental analysis. Whether you’re conducting Elliott Wave analysis or support and resistance strategies, make sure to always implement proper risk management.
Where Can I Trade AUD/USD?
As is it one of the most popular major currency pairs, you can trade AUD/USD at virtually any online forex broker. To start analysing current AUD/USD charts and begin trading, you will need to register at your chosen broker and sign in to the trading platform.