Blog Posts

How Does Warren Buffett Beat the Market?

If you ask 100 people who the world’s most successful investor is, probably over half of them (who give an answer) would say Warren Buffett. The puzzle: is his success skill, luck, survivorship bias, or something explainable? To answer this, we looked at an academic paper by Andrea Frazzini, David Kabiller, and Lasse Heje Pedersen […]

Productivity & Time Management for Traders

In trading, productivity is essential. Traders need to make quick decisions, analyze vast amounts of data, and stay ahead of changing market trends.  You have only so much time and so much energy. Boosting productivity can lead to better decision-making, higher profits, and a more balanced lifestyle.   Key Takeaways – Productivity & Time Management […]

Monte Carlo Simulations of Portfolio Growth (with Volatility & Leverage Variants)

Trading and investing isn’t about predicting or knowing the future. It’s about preparing for many possible ones. Monte Carlo simulations let us stress-test portfolios by running thousands of “what if” scenarios with different volatility and leverage assumptions. Instead of a single forecast, you see ranges of outcomes: steady growth paths, sudden collapses, and everything in […]

Bitcoin Perpetual Futures

Bitcoin perpetual futures allow you to trade Bitcoin on leverage without worrying about expiration.  Traditional futures always settle on a set date, but perpetual futures roll on forever.  That flexibility makes them one of the most popular products in crypto trading today.  Given Bitcoin’s natural volatility – generally between 20%-150% annualized (though declining over time) […]

How to Recover from a Huge Trading Loss (Without Quitting)

Taking a massive trading loss is a gut punch that all traders face. Even experienced traders have to accept that trading losses are part of it. But losses don’t have to mean the end of your trading career. Nothing goes in a straight line and step by step you can recover and make things even […]

The Labor Market vs The Stock Market

The labor market and stock market are linked and we’ll go through the basic implications of how and why it’s important.   Key Takeaways – The Labor Market vs The Stock Market A tight labor market acts as a “contra-indicator” for future stock returns.  Low unemployment signals that policymakers may soon tighten monetary policy to […]

Optimizer & Risk Model Software

Trading is less about predicting the future and making bold bets and more about optimizing and controlling risk. For each unit of risk, how much return are you getting? Optimizers and risk models help you make better data-driven portfolio decisions. It helps you go from more of a beginner’s mindset to paying almost no attention […]

Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) in Trading

Having standard operating procedures (SOPs) is a must in trading. Trading without a system is effectively gambling. SOPs act like a living template or playbook that helps to turn the “chaos” of whatever you’re doing into structure. SOPs enforce consistency, discipline, and measurable improvement. It creates a framework you can measure and improve over time.  […]

Value-at-Risk (VaR)

How much money could I lose in a day (week, month, quarter, year) on a really bad day? What would the worst 5% or the worst 1% of days look like? You’re asking the same question that Value-at-Risk (VaR) tries to answer.  It’s one of the most widely used risk measures in finance because it […]

Market-Beating Returns in an Unleveraged Portfolio

Harry Markowitz, who popularized modern portfolio theory, said that “diversification is the only free lunch in investing.” For most of the post-2008 period, the bull run in large-cap US equities meant that those who diversified well often found that lunch to be quite costly. If someone went from a 100% stocks portfolio to the 60/40 […]

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