My Top Picks For Natural Gas Stocks And Funds
This article was first published on June 23, 2025
Below are my top picks for natural gas and stock funds.
Direct Exposure – Producers
- EQT Corp (EQT) – The largest natural gas producer in the Appalachian Basin, with significant Marcellus-field reserves.
- Cheniere Energy (LNG) – US’s largest LNG exporter, with expanding export capacity (Corpus Christi Stage 3 now underway).
Infrastructure/Midstream
- Kinder Morgan (KMI) – Operates the largest US nat gas pipeline network, transporting ~40% of domestic gas.
- Enbridge (ENB) – Owns 24,000 mi/38,000 km of gas pipelines across North America and is a stable toll-based utility play.
Funds & ETFs
- United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) – A popular vehicle for direct exposure to natural gas futures.
Latest Trends in the Natural Gas Market
- Geopolitical volatility – Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are pushing LNG spot prices higher, Asia LNG spot index at ~$14/mmBtu, with European prices up ~20% in a week.
- Strong US production – EIA signals record-high US output in 2025 (~105 Bcf/d), with rising LNG export capacity. Pipeline bottlenecks remain an issue.
- Tight formidables – Global demand back to structural growth since 2024 (2.7% increase in 2024), but inventories are low and Europe is competing for LNG cargoes.
- Thermal coal substitution – Some countries shifting toward coal due to elevated LNG prices (~$14 vs ~$12 for coal).
- US storage dynamics – Henry Hub July futures at $3.71. EIA lowered average 2025 price forecast to $4.02/mmBtu.
2025 Outlook for Natural Gas
Upside Triggers
- Geopolitics – Any disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could spike prices
- Export bottlenecks – US prices may rise if LNG export capacity scales slower than demand.
Downside Risks
- Mild weather reduces demand and cools spot prices.
- Coal rebound – Cheaper coal options may dampen future gas demand in Asia and Europe.
- Subdued global demand – China’s LNG demand could decelerate due to softer economic growth.
Investor Takeaway
Expect a volatile trading range (it’s traditionally ~3x as volatile as US stocks).
Structural tailwinds remain from LNG demand and US-export buildout, but expect 2025 average prices to hover in the $3.50–$5 range, higher if geopolitics are a bigger factor.
Investment Strategy by Profile
- Value-oriented producer investors – Consider EQT and LGN for leverage to higher nat gas prices.
- Yield/midstream investors – Kinder Morgan and Enbridge provide stable distributions with less price sensitivity.
- Speculative traders – UNG can be used tactically, but beware of roll yield and futures curve risks.
- Diversified exposure – Explore low-cost nat gas ETFs.
Price Forecast
EIA: ~$4.02/mmBtu average in 2025, with current spot in the high-$3’s.
When thinking about nat gas prices in terms of a probability distribution, typically there’s a skew where there’s a long upper tail to the price range, but the most common outcomes in the distribution sit below the market price. For example, the attached image is a price distribution on UNG using the January 2026 options.
