Forex Trading News
How Tariffs Work & How to Trade ThemTariffs are government-imposed taxes on imported goods that serve as both a revenue source and a strategic policy tool to influence trade balances, protect domestic industries, and respond to geopolitical tensions. In our current times, tariffs, debt cycles, monetary imbalances, geopolitical distrust, domestic political polarization, and deglobalization are converging to reshape capital flows, inflation dynamics, […]
What It Would Take for the Dollar to Collapse as a Reserve CurrencyThe US dollar remains the backbone of the global financial system, anchoring the majority of international reserves, trade, and capital flows. While rising deficits, monetary expansion, and geopolitical tensions have sparked growing concerns about its durability, most collapse narratives overlook the structural mechanics that underpin dollar dominance. History shows that reserve currency transitions are slow. […]
What Makes a Currency Overvalued or Undervalued?When determining whether a currency is overvalued or undervalued, there is no agreed-upon framework. While traders and governments build models to estimate equilibrium exchange rates, reality is more nuanced – currencies can remain misaligned for years due to politics, policy choices, structural imbalances, regulations, frictions, and other factors. Let’s break down what influences currency misvaluation, […]
Retail vs. Institutional FX TradingThe divide between retail and institutional FX trading isn’t just about account size. It’s about access, infrastructure, motives, execution quality, and the way markets are understood and analyzed. While both sides trade the same currency pairs and stocks (for the most part), they’re often operating very differently, with separate rules, tools, and expectations. Key […]
When Will the US Run Out of Money? (And Impacts on Markets)Can the US or any country run out of money? Technically, the government doesn’t have money. A government is just a collection of individuals. Everything in an economy comes down to productivity. Governments collect tax revenue from what boils down to underlying productivity at the most fundamental level. It can use a combination of those […]
Artificial Intelligence in Currency Trading & Policy ForecastingCurrency markets today are now shaped not just by interest rates and macro data, but by algorithms that learn, adapt, and react faster than any human can. What was once experimental is now routine, embedded in the architecture of both institutional trading desks and central bank research units. In the past, AI and automation merely […]
Trading Unique Stocks/Dollar Correlation ScenariosA situation where the S&P 500 and USD are down simultaneously is rare and potentially profitable if you know how to trade it. This environment upends the usual risk-off playbook (long USD, long Treasuries, short risk), and that opens the door to some creative derivatives trades that capitalize on correlation shifts, macro shifts, and mispriced […]
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is a lens through which we can understand the real value of money across borders. Imagine walking into a bakery in Tokyo and buying a loaf of bread for ¥500, then doing the same in New York for $5. At first glance, comparing these prices seems pointless. But PPP asks: How […]
Currency Valuations vs. Yield DifferentialsCurrency valuations are heavily determined by yield differentials. They shape the dynamics of foreign exchange (forex) markets, capital flows, and trader decisions. This article looks at yield differentials as a currency valuation driver, looking at their mechanisms, implications, and nuances in markets. Key Takeaways – Currency Valuations vs. Yield Differentials Yield Differentials Drive Currency […]
Currency-Commodity CorrelationsCertain currencies and commodities correlate due to the economic structure and trade dependencies of their associated countries or regions. For example, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is positively correlated with crude oil because Canada is a major oil exporter, and rising oil prices increase export revenues, strengthening the CAD. Similarly, the Japanese Yen (JPY) often inversely […]
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