Swissy – Bears are in control pushing prices lower

by at FXTM.
Dai Phat Tran
Dai Phat Tran

The USDCHF currency pair on the 4 Hours Chart has been following an upward path since 9 March 2020, having found support at the 0.91818 level. The formation of the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern known as Morning Star signaled the very beginning of the upward bias.

The low prices attracted buyers who entered the market with long positions and as a result they have pulled the Swissy to higher levels following a pattern of successively higher tops and higher bottoms.

Evening Star Pattern

Subsequently, the currency pair formed an Evening Star pattern near the resistance level of 0.94109 which hinted at the end of the rally and the potential beginning of a decline.

Upon applying Technical analysis on the price chart, one can see that the last Japanese candlestick of Evening Star pattern managed to close below the 10-period Exponential Moving Average line, a fact that also points to the downward direction and the bearish bias in the market.

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index Oscillator registers values below the fifty line, which also confirms the negative sentiment in the market.

Both technical indicators, as well as the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern, are in agreement in terms of the pair’s downward bias.

Fibonacci Confirmation

Furthermore, the current price is trading below the upward trend line, which also implies that supply is greater than demand.

Applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool to the low price of the Bearish Japanese candlestick at the price of 0.93260 and dragging it up to the high price of the pattern at the price of 0.94017, three price targets were calculated – the first price target is estimated at 0.92503 (200%), the second price target is seen at 0.91746 (300%), and the third price target is projected at 0.90989 (400%).

Of course, it remains to be seen whether the crowd psychology as well as the sellers’ pressure will manage to maintain the control of the market and push the USDCHF pair lower.

USDCHF H4 11Mar

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