AUDUSD on the Daily Chart has been following an upward path since 2 November 2020, having found support at the 0.69902 level. The formation of the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern known as Inverted Hammer signalled the very beginning of the upward bias.
Long Positions
The attractive price enticed buyers who entered the market with long positions and as a result they have pulled the Aussie to higher levels, following a pattern of successively higher tops and higher bottoms.
Subsequently, the currency pair formed a Bearish Engulfing pattern near the resistance level of 0.78196 which hinted at the end of the rally and the potential beginning of a decline.
Technical Analysis
Upon applying Technical analysis on the price chart, one can see that the Japanese candlestick after the Bearish Engulfing pattern managed to close below the 10-period Exponential Moving Average line, a fact that also points to the downward direction and the bearish bias in the market.
The Relative Strength Index Oscillator registers values below the fifty line, which also confirms the negative sentiment in the market. Both technical indicators, as well as the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern, agree in terms of the pair’s downward bias.
Furthermore, the current price is trading below the upward trend line, which also implies that supply is greater than demand.
Fibonacci
Applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool to the low price of the Bearish Japanese candlestick at the price of 0.76429 and dragging it up to the high price of the pattern at the price of 0.77628, three price targets were calculated;
- The first price target is estimated at 0.7523 (200%).
- The second price target is seen at 0.74031 (300%).
- The third price target is projected at 0.72832 (400%).
Of course, it remains to be seen whether the crowd psychology as well as the sellers’ pressure will manage to maintain the control of the market and push the AUDUSD currency pair lower.
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