Can Bulls Continue To Drive USDJPY Higher?

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Written By
Contributor Image
Written By
Tran Dai Phat
Tran Dai Phat, a Forex Educator at FXTM with a Bachelor's Degree in Investment, brings multiple years of financial market experience to the aid of aspiring traders everywhere. He conducts research on stocks, forex, and commodities, sharing his insights to empower traders and encourage the development of simple strategies for maximizing trading potential.

The USDJPY currency pair on the Daily Chart has been following a downward path since 24 March 2020, having found resistance at the 111.705 level. The formation of the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern known as Evening Star signalled the very beginning of the downward bias.

The high prices attracted sellers who entered the market with short positions and as a result they have pushed USDJPY currency pair to lower levels, following a pattern of successively lower tops and lower bottoms.

Technical Analysis

Subsequently, the currency pair formed an Inverted Hammer near the support level of 105.977 which hinted at the end of the decline and the potential beginning of a rally.

Upon applying Technical analysis on the price chart, one can see that the Japanese candlestick managed to close above the 10-period Exponential Moving Average line after formation of the Inverted Hammer, a fact that also points to the upward direction and the bullish bias in the market.

In addition, the Relative Strength Index Oscillator registers values above the fifty line, which also confirms the positive sentiment in the market.

Both technical indicators, as well as the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern, are in agreement in terms of the pair’s upward bias.

Furthermore, the current price is trading above the downward trend line, which also implies that demand is greater than supply.


Applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool to the high price of the Bullish Japanese candlestick at the price of 107.758 and dragging it down to the low price of the pattern at the price of 105.977, three price targets may be calculated:

  • The first price target is estimated at 109.539 (200%)
  • The second price target is seen at 111.320 (300%)
  • The third price target is projected at 113.101 (400%)

Of course, it remains to be seen whether the crowd psychology as well as the buyers’ pressure will manage to maintain the control of the market and pull USDJPY currency pair higher.


USDJPY 4hrly 20th May

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