Euro Finds Lifeline On The Upside

by at FXTM.
Tran Dai Phat
Tran Dai Phat

The EURUSD currency pair on the 4 Hours Chart has been following a downward path since 9 March 2020, having found resistance at the 1.14098 level.

The formation of the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern known as Evening Star signaled the very beginning of the downward bias.

The high prices attracted sellers who entered the market with short positions, and as a result they have pushed the Euro to lower levels following a pattern of successively lower tops and lower bottoms.

Latest Trends

Subsequently, the currency pair formed a Bullish Engulfing pattern near the support level of 1.06355, which hinted at the end of the decline and the potential beginning of a rally.

Upon applying Technical analysis on the price chart, one can see that the last Japanese candlestick of Bullish Engulfing pattern managed to close above the 10-period Exponential Moving Average line, a fact that also points to the upward direction and the bullish bias in the market.

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index Oscillator registers values above the 50 line, which also confirms the positive sentiment in the market.

Both technical indicators, as well as the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern, are in agreement in terms of the pair’s upward bias.

Confirmation

Furthermore, the current price is trading above the downward trend line, which also implies that demand is greater than supply.

Applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool to the high price of the Bullish Japanese candlestick at the price of 1.08064 and dragging it down to the low price of the pattern at the price of 1.06661, three price targets may be calculated:

  1. The first price target is estimated at 1.09467 (200%).
  2. The second price target is seen at 1.10870 (300%).
  3. The third price target is projected at 1.12273 (400%).

Of course, it remains to be seen whether the crowd psychology as well as the buyers’ pressure will be able to maintain control over the market and pull EURUSD currency pair higher.

EURUSD H4 25th March

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