A Technical Reversal To The Downside For EURJPY

by .
Tran Dai Phat
Tran Dai Phat

The EURJPY on the Daily Chart has been following an upward path since 18 January 2021, having found support at the 125.081 level. The formation of the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern known as Morning Star signalled the very beginning of the upward bias.

The attractive price enticed buyers who entered the market with long positions and as a result they have pushed the EURJPY to higher levels, following a pattern of successively higher tops and higher bottoms.

Price Chart Patterns

Subsequently, the pair formed a Bearish Engulfing pattern near the resistance level of 130.656 which hinted at the end of the rally and the potential beginning of a decline.

Upon applying Technical analysis on the price chart, one can see that the last Japanese candlestick of Bearish Engulfing pattern managed to close below the 10-period Exponential Moving Average line, a fact that also points to the downward direction and the bearish bias in the market.

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index Oscillator registers values below the fifty line, which also confirms the negative sentiment in the market. Both technical indicators, as well as the Japanese candlestick reversal pattern, are in agreement in terms of the pair’s downward bias.

Trend Lines

Furthermore, the current price is trading below the upward trend line, which also implies that supply is greater than demand.

Applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool to the low price of the Bearish Japanese candlestick at the price of 128.592 and dragging it up to the high price of the pattern at the price of 129.934, three price targets were calculated –

  • The first price target is estimated at 127.250 (200%).
  • The second price target is seen at 125.908 (300%).
  • The third price target is projected at 124.566 (400%).

Of course, it remains to be seen whether the crowd psychology as well as the bears’ pressure will manage to maintain the control of the market and bring the EURJPY pair lower.

EURJPY Daily

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